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Four Crises and a Peace Process: American Engagement in by P. R. Chari, Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema, Stephen P. Cohen

By P. R. Chari, Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema, Stephen P. Cohen

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In mid-1985, the entire exercise was repeated. The scenario of an Indian attack on Kahuta again captured attention in Washington and Islamabad. 16 Again, diplomatic representations were made to New Delhi, and (it is believed) Moscow and Beijing were included in an effort at preventive diplomacy. S. military intelligence was reluctant to treat these reports as firm evidence of an Indian plan to attack, while the CIA, which had its own links to Pakistani intelligence because of their joint operations in Afghanistan, seemed to be pressing the case hardest, despite the skepticism of many competent analysts.

Government, led by President Ronald Reagan, exercised constant pressure on both countries to moderate their competition. On the other hand, during the crisis in 1984, statements of Senator Daniel Patrick 1384-5 ch02 12/19/07 10:30 AM Page 28 28 / south asia’s crises Moynihan, Ambassador Hinton, and Under Secretary of State James Buckley, made on the basis of limited evidence, fanned suspicions that India might attack Pakistan’s nuclear assets. S. policy was being orchestrated to dissuade India from contemplating a preventive strike.

April 2005: Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service begins; Musharraf travels to Delhi for a cricket match and meets Manmohan Singh. October 2005: In the aftermath of the earthquake, India provides (and Pakistan reluctantly and hesitantly accepts) relief aid, and the Line of Control is opened at five points. 2005–07: Prime ministerial, foreign minister, and foreign secretary talks continue on the composite dialogue; additional meetings by home and defense secretaries; other negotiations and meetings at several levels.

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