By Bilal M. Ayyub
IntroductionIntroduction wisdom, info, and evaluations lack of awareness and Uncertainty Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties in process Abstraction Characterizing and Modeling Uncertainty Simulation for Uncertainty research and Propagation Simulation tasks info Description and TreatmentIntroduction category of knowledge Graphical Description of knowledge Histograms and Frequency Diagrams Descriptive Measures purposes research of Simulated info Simulation tasks basics of ProbabilityIntroduction units, pattern areas, and EventsMathematics of likelihood Random Variables and Their Proba. Read more...
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Extra resources for Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists
The ignorance of a state of ignorance is called blind ignorance. The incompleteness form of ignorance stems from quantum knowledge that does not cover the entire domain of inquiry. The inconsistency form of ignorance rises from specialization and focusing on a particular specialty discipline or science or phenomenon without accounting for interactions with or from other sciences or disciplines or phenomena. Many disciplines of engineering and the sciences rely on the development and use of predictive models that in turn require knowledge and information, and sometime subjective opinions of experts.
On the other hand, subjective information has the benefit of being broader in coverage, but certainly could have many shortfalls including Introduction 11 (a) (b) (c) N6 Lake Pontchartrain N5 New Orleans N7 East (N) C11 O1 C4 C5, O17 St. Charles (C) O2 O18 C3 O4 O3 C10 C7 C9 C8 O15 Orleans East Bank (O) O7 O8 O14 O9 O13 O12 O11 O10 B19 O6 B1 B18 N9 N25 N12 to N17 N11 New Orleans East (N) N20 N19 N18 B3 B20 B16 N10 Lake Borgne B4 St. Bernard (B) St. Bernard (B) B17 N8 N24 N3 B2 C6 O16 Mississippi River N1 N2 N21 O5 O19 C1 C2 N23 N4 N22 Lake Pontchartrain Lake Pontchartrain B5 B21 B15 B6 B22 Mississippi River B14 B13 Mississippi River Reach Pumping station Point in-between reaches B29 B23 0 B12 B3 B11 B10 B7 B25 B24 St.
An important dimension in defining the state of knowledge and truth about a sys tem is nonknowledge or ignorance or an illusion of knowledge. Opinions rendered by experts that are based on information and existing knowledge can be defined as preliminary propositions with claims that are not fully justified or justified with an inadequate reliability level, but are not necessarily infallible. Expert opinions are seeds of propositional knowledge that do not meet one or more of the conditions required for the JTB and according to the reliability theory of knowledge.